Spettro
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 74
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-10-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 8/11 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |