7

Munchkin
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |