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5

Natures Fury

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 60

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 27/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS27/07C6C6 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 7f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 56 par28/08C6OR 56C6 @ Delaware Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 67 · 7f110y Sft 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 67 par18/09C6OR 67C9 @ Penn National 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 41 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 41 par18/06C9OR 41C9 @ Monmouth Park 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 47 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 47 par9/08C9OR 47C9 @ Penn National 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f Slo 122 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 55 par20/08C9OR 55C9 @ Monmouth Park 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 122 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 57 par7/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-20Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-08-09Monmouth Park?5th5th0
2026-06-18Penn National?2nd2nd0
2025-09-18Delaware Park?5th2nd+3
2025-08-28Delaware Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0718/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
28/08/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
18/09/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
18/06/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
09/08/20265th5/287%50%-0.37
20/08/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
07/09/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07