
Just Comply
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/03/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |