Seasonal Love
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 85
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2024-12-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |