1
Al Samsama
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 85
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -80.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 67% | -0.22 |