3
Bymiddaytomorrow
2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 82
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |