7
Kiah
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 76
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -31.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |