8
Next Of Kin
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 76
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newbury | 4 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -25.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |