IvyArcIvyArc
2

Polyxena

2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 82

Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Overcame obvious inexperience when a 40/1 winner on debut at Windsor in July (6f) and defied a penalty in the manner of a useful prospect over the same C&D 3 weeks later. 7f should be within range and she's in the right hands to go on progressing in nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f12y GF 12520/0755 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 1327/095projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor51st5th−3
2026-07-20Windsor51st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -57.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
07/09/20261st8/158%100%+0.42