9
Tansy Lane
2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 74
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |