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5

Quest For Stars

2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 105

Newmarket · Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won first 3 starts, notably a Salisbury listed event (1m, good). Lost his unbeaten record when 7 lengths third of 9 to Darkness Falls in 9f Group 1 at Leopardstown (good to firm) 14 days ago but it was another step forward. Probably more to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f6y GF 1339/0723 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13729/0731 @ Salisbury 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 93 · 1m Goo 129 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 93 par12/081OR 931 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 103 · 1m1f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 103 par12/091OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Leopardstown13rd3rd+0
2026-08-12Salisbury11st2nd−0
2026-07-29Sandown31st4th−3
2026-07-09Doncaster21st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0729/0712/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -23.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
29/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
12/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
12/09/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14