7
Rocket Boy
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 100
Newmarket · Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 3 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -57.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |