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Alwaysanangel

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 104

Newmarket · Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning debut with something to spare at Fairyhouse and, quickly up in grade, showed much improved form when third behind 2 of today's rivals in Group 2 at the July Festival at this venue. Comfortable winner of 7f listed race at Cork 6 weeks ago and she's open to further progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1231/07C?1 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f GF 12810/0711 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 12814/081projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cork11st2nd−1
2026-07-10Newmarket13rd3rd−0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0710/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -13.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
10/07/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
14/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13