5
Snowing
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 98
Newmarket · Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲6
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 15th | −8 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 14th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 72% | -0.19 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |