6

Sun Goddess
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 119
Newmarket · Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 10th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 96% | +0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |