7

Push The Boat Out

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Beat fellow newcomer Marco Polo when making a winning debut in 19-runner maiden at the Curragh in August and took a big step forward when edging out Coventry winner Great Barrier Reef (who was returning from 10 weeks off) in Group 3 there later in the month. Looks well worth a crack at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/08C81 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 13129/081projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh11st2nd−0
2026-08-09Curragh?1st10th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength84%

Delivery trend -39.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
29/08/20261st17/255%100%+0.45