11
Gavriel
3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 95
Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-08-27 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-08-07 | Sandown | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2796% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +30.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 27. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |