16

Harmonics

3yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 97

Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner of 1m Southwell maiden and 1¼m Doncaster novice in early summer. Creditable efforts in defeat since. Raced keenly again, despite the addition of a hood, when third in 1¼m Group 3 at Windsor 19 days ago but possible this big-field scenario on a straight course will help him settle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13015/0444 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13021/0544 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m2f43y GF 1375/0642 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 97 · 1m1f212y GF 129 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 97 par20/062OR 972 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 97 · 1m1f197y Goo 132 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 97 par30/072OR 971 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 97 · 1m2f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 97 par7/091OR 97projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 27
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor13rd1st+1
2026-07-30Goodwood25th5th0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot28th8th0
2026-06-05Doncaster41st3rd−2
2026-05-21Southwell41st3rd−2
2026-04-15Southwell45th7th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0421/055/0620/0630/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2754% of fieldRange 13-26 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 27. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
21/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
20/06/20268th17/255%53%-0.02
30/07/20265th9/276%69%-0.07
07/09/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30