19
Parole D'oro
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90
Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f
#18
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newmarket | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2750% of fieldRange 6-23 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 27. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 31/07/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 41% | -0.06 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 16/5 | 83% | 50% | -0.33 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |