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4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 94

Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a third victory of the season in 1m July Course handicap (good to firm) in June. Matched that form when third of 11 to Hickory at Ascot (1m, good to firm) in July but disappointed back at Ascot 3 weeks ago. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m2f Std 13712/0233 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m3f219y Sta 127 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 85 par20/034OR 853 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 83 · 1m GF 131 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 83 par2 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 92 · 1m Goo 125 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 92 par16/052OR 923 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 92 · 1m Goo 144 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 92 par3 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 141 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 94 par9/073OR 942 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 94 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 94 par4/092OR 94projClass-projected finish: 17th of 27
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot28th8th0
2026-07-25Ascot23rd3rd0
2026-07-09Newmarket35th6th−1
2026-06-19Newmarket31st2nd−1
2026-05-16Newbury210th10th0
2026-05-02Newmarket31st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/022/059/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2777% of fieldRange 6-27 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 27. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20261st1/999%100%+0.01
02/03/20268th2/189%13%-0.77
20/03/20267th3/184%45%-0.39
02/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
16/05/202610th15/261%36%-0.25
19/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
09/07/20265th4/179%67%-0.12
25/07/20263rd13/266%80%+0.14
04/09/20268th9/276%42%-0.35