27
Wanderlust
4yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 83
Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f
#22
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#22
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 3 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chester | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 2723% of fieldRange 8-27 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 21st of 27. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 69% | -0.21 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 06/09/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |