23
Zennor Storm
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 91
Newmarket · bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) · 1m 1f
#17
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2738% of fieldRange 4-27 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 27. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 94% | +0.89 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 61% | -0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |