2

Five Ways

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 104

Newmarket · Hunt Family Fund Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a Group 3 at Kempton prior to finishing fourth in the Middle Park on last season. Standout effort of this year came when a close fourth in a listed race at Chester in July (best not judged on his latest run there). Appears to have plenty on his plate from his current mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.1
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 13/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13013/0841 @ Kempton 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 98 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 98 par27/091OR 981 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 104 · 5f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 104 par1 @ Haydock 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 104 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 104 par23/051OR 1042 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 22 · OR 103 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 103 par1 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 100 · 7f1y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 100 par11/071OR 1001 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 104 par2 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 104 · 7f127y Goo 135 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 104 par22/082OR 104projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Chester211th11th0
2026-07-31Goodwood16th4th+1
2026-07-11Chester14th3rd+1
2026-06-13York213th13th0
2026-05-23Haydock15th3rd+2
2026-05-02Newmarket17th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/082/0511/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
06/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
27/09/20254th22/10%63%+0.63
02/05/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
23/05/20265th22/10%33%+0.33
13/06/202613th28/10%43%+0.43
11/07/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
31/07/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
22/08/202611th16/116%17%+0.01