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9

Huscal

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88

Newmarket · Hunt Family Fund Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Front-running has brought the best out of him of late. Again able to dictate when completing a double at Sandown earlier this month. Fancied to go well up in grade, for all he may have to work a bit harder to get to the lead this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 85 · 7f Sta 131 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 85 par8/104OR 854 @ Kempton 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 85 · 7f Sta 137 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 85 par3 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 86 · 7f Gd 127 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 86 par16/043OR 863 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 85 · 7f1y Gd 130 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m31y GF 129 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 84 par25/053OR 844 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 82 · 7f GF 144 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Lingfield 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 81 · 7f135y GF 130 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 81 par15/073OR 814 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 7f1y Std 140 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Sandown 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 85 par11/093OR 85projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Sandown31st2nd−1
2026-08-08Lingfield41st3rd−2
2026-07-15Lingfield32nd3rd−1
2026-07-02Newbury43rd5th−2
2026-05-25Windsor34th5th−1
2026-05-06Chester38th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/106/0515/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20255th4/179%69%-0.10
05/11/20252nd17/255%92%+0.37
16/04/202612th12/137%35%-0.02
06/05/20268th10/147%42%-0.06
25/05/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
02/07/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32
15/07/20262nd4/179%67%-0.12
08/08/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
11/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14