3
Native American
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 99
Newmarket · Hunt Family Fund Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Meydan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Meydan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Meydan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Goodwood | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Sandown | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/02/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 25/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |