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6

The Fingal Raven

4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 92

Newmarket · Hunt Family Fund Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally in handicap at Meydan (1m) in January. Back to form in recent months, only bettered by an unexposed 3-y-o at Ascot and came home first in the disadvantaged group in big-field Newbury handicap last time. Similar performance may be enough to take this, with blinkers now refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meydan 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m Gd 13730/01C?C0 @ Meydan 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 131C0 @ Meydan 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 12613/03C?2 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 28 · OR 95 · 7f GF 128 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 95 · 7f GF 130 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 95 par11/072OR 953 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 93 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 93 · 7f GS 127 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 93 par29/082OR 932 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Goo 127 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 92 par3 @ Newbury 19/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 93 · 7f GF 138 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 93 par19/093OR 93projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newbury37th8th−1
2026-09-05Ascot22nd2nd0
2026-08-29Goodwood29th9th0
2026-07-29Goodwood33rd4th−1
2026-07-11Newmarket29th9th0
2026-06-18Royal Ascot216th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0118/0629/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
13/02/20265th10/147%69%+0.22
13/03/20265th7/163%69%+0.06
18/06/202616th66/10%44%+0.44
11/07/20269th28/10%33%+0.33
29/07/20263rd16/116%89%+0.74
29/08/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
05/09/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
19/09/20267th16/116%60%+0.44