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10

Utmost Good Faith

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90

Newmarket · Hunt Family Fund Handicap · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed an Epsom handicap under a typically positive ride on final start for George Boughey in July. Has found life tougher in higher grades for current connections (sent off at long odds all 3 starts) and a 2-lb reprieve may not be enough.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength11%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 09/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 82 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 82 par9/024OR 823 @ Kempton 25/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 89 · 1m Sta 133 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Musselburgh 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m2y GS 133 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 89 par4/043OR 892 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 89 · 7f127y Gd 127 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Sandown 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 88 par13/063OR 884 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 87 · 7f3y Goo 136 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 87 par2 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 93 · 7f GF 123 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 93 par1/082OR 933 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 93 · 7f14y Std 131 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 93 par3 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 92 · 7f GS 135 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 92 par6/093OR 92projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York313th14th−1
2026-08-16Southwell312th13th−1
2026-08-01Goodwood213th13th0
2026-07-01Epsom Downs41st3rd−2
2026-06-13Sandown35th6th−1
2026-05-07Chester212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/027/051/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
25/02/20264th14/126%0%-0.26
04/04/20266th7/282%0%-0.82
07/05/202612th28/10%0%0.00
13/06/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
01/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
01/08/202613th100/10%0%0.00
16/08/202612th80/10%8%+0.08
06/09/202613th125/10%14%+0.14