4
Blame Da Stoops
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 84
Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 03/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 23/02/2026 | 7th | 8/11 | 96% | 14% | -0.82 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |