5
He's A Rock
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/01/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |