7
Norway Beach
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 80
Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 03/02/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 23/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |