Atreidesreflection
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-20 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-19 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 28/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |