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7

Tiger Man Mckool

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Lone Star 17/06/2023 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS17/06C6C6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 17/03/2024 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASSC9 @ Louisiana Downs 05/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 53 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark05/08/2024 · OR 53 par5/08C9OR 53C9 @ Louisiana Downs 03/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark03/09/2024 · OR 56 parC6 @ Sam Houston Race Park 22/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 54 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2025 · OR 54 par22/03C6OR 54C6 @ Lone Star 03/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 57 parC6 @ Lone Star 31/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 59 par31/05C6OR 59C6 @ Lone Star 21/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 65 par21/06C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-06-21Lone Star?2nd0th+2
2025-05-31Lone Star?5th3rd+2
2025-05-03Lone Star?2nd0th+2
2025-03-22Sam Houston Race Park?2nd0th+2
2024-09-03Louisiana Downs?4th5th−1
2024-08-05Louisiana Downs?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/063/0931/0521/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20239th6/168%0%-0.68
17/03/202412th16/116%0%-0.16
05/08/20244th7/491%63%-0.28
03/09/20244th4/179%67%-0.12
22/03/20252nd20/10%89%+0.89
03/05/20252nd1/195%80%-0.15
31/05/20255th10/382%50%-0.32
21/06/20252nd11/271%89%+0.18