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Alfa Hoodini

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ripon · Theakston Brewing Legends Since 1827 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good-bodied colt but has finished well held both starts so far, albeit facing a very stiff task in valuable sales race at Doncaster (6.5f) 16 days ago. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 11.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS27/0832 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR - · 6f111y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS10/092projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster216th14th+2
2026-08-27Southwell37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -18.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
10/09/202616th250/10%6%+0.06