IvyArcIvyArc
2

Bulletsnap

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 78

Ripon · Theakston Brewing Legends Since 1827 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has made the frame in novices all 3 starts, showing promise at Goodwood and Doncaster on first 2 occasions (the winner from Doncaster now a useful type). Lesser effort when fourth of 9 at Windsor last month, but no surprise to see him fare better with stand-side draw to work from.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 1307/0642 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f6y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0724 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f12y Gd 130 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 80 par29/084OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor44th4th0
2026-07-09Doncaster24th2nd+2
2026-06-07Goodwood43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/069/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -15.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20263rd17/255%60%+0.05
09/07/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
29/08/20264th2/189%63%-0.27