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5

Harry Akoya

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Ripon · Theakston Brewing Legends Since 1827 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field but hinted at ability when eleventh of 13 in maiden at Beverley (5f) on debut 10 days ago, making some progress after denied a clear run. Likely to need more time, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 13316/095
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley511th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/202611th80/10%17%+0.17