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8

Time To Play

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ripon · Theakston Brewing Legends Since 1827 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€100,000 son of Blue Point who looked in need of the experience on debut when fourth of 7 in novice at Haydock 23 days ago. Could be in the mix with improvement to come from his first outing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20264th4/179%50%-0.29