6
Aphra Behn
2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66
Ripon · Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 89% | -0.06 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 8/13 | 97% | 63% | -0.34 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |