4

Cash Cove

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 72

Ripon · Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened her account at the third time of asking in 7f Doncaster maiden in June, making the most of her experience. Hasn't kicked on in nurseries since, though, having no excuses when fourth of 5 to Kodi Bear Light at Newmarket (July) last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f14y Std 12321/0542 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f111y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS6/0622 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f6y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS20/0624 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 77 · 7f1y Goo 130 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 77 par10/074OR 772 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 76 par30/072OR 763 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 7f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 74 par15/083OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Newmarket34th3rd+1
2026-07-30Goodwood218th16th+2
2026-07-10Chester43rd3rd0
2026-06-20Doncaster21st-1th+2
2026-06-06Doncaster24th2nd+2
2026-05-21Southwell44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/056/0620/0610/0730/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20264th17/255%40%-0.15
06/06/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
20/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
10/07/20263rd6/492%33%-0.59
30/07/202618th40/10%0%0.00
15/08/20264th10/147%25%-0.22