2
Forest Berry
2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 77
Ripon · Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Musselburgh | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |