Zarakova

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 80

Ripon · Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼1

Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.0

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Doncaster	3	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-08-07	Newmarket	3	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-07-16	Epsom Downs	3	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-05-29	Wolverhampton	3	6th	5th	+1	5.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength91%

Delivery trend +17.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/05/2026	6th	9/2	76%	0%	-0.76
16/07/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	75%	-0.16
07/08/2026	1st	6/4	92%	100%	+0.08
10/09/2026	5th	10/1	47%	20%	-0.27