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6

Kinetic Force

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 79

Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap · 5f

#12

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Thirsk in May and not seen to best effect next outing. Then off 4 months prior to recent seventh of 10 at Doncaster 13 days ago, shaping as if needing the run, and he can make more impact with that outing under his belt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 04/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 84 · 5f6y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 84 par4/093OR 844 @ Lingfield 13/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 83 · 5f6y Std 132 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ Newmarket 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Gd 134 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 81 par20/094OR 814 @ Bath 30/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 79 · 5f10y Goo 136 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 5f Std 127 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 77 par27/034OR 774 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 77 · 5f1y Goo 133 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Thirsk 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 77 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 77 par2/053OR 774 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 5f3y Gd 138 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 80 par13/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster47th7th0
2026-05-31Thirsk410th10th0
2026-05-02Thirsk31st0th+1
2026-04-12Musselburgh43rd3rd0
2026-03-27Newcastle44th4th0
2025-09-30Bath48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0930/092/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20257th14/126%25%-0.01
13/09/20258th28/10%22%+0.22
20/09/20259th12/137%0%-0.37
30/09/20258th11/142%30%-0.12
27/03/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
12/04/20263rd4/179%88%+0.09
02/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
31/05/202610th9/276%44%-0.33
13/09/20267th5/174%33%-0.40