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4

Mighty Magnus

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 81

Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form when second of 11 at Haydock on heavy going 22 days ago having returned to last winning mark. Best not judged too harshly on fifth of 10 at Doncaster when last seen given he reared leaving stalls and he holds place claims here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f6y Gd 132 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 82 par17/054OR 824 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 81 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Musselburgh 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 5f1y Gd 131 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 81 par6/064OR 812 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 86 · 5f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 85 par4/074OR 854 @ Musselburgh 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 85 · 5f1y Gd 135 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 83 · 5f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 83 par19/082OR 834 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 81 · 5f Hvy 138 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 82 · 5f3y Gd 139 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 82 par13/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster45th5th0
2026-09-04Haydock42nd2nd0
2026-08-19York211th9th+2
2026-07-31Musselburgh45th5th0
2026-07-04Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-06-27York25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0527/0619/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/202613th16/116%8%-0.08
31/05/20263rd17/255%82%+0.27
06/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
27/06/20265th12/137%67%+0.30
04/07/20263rd15/890%71%-0.19
31/07/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
19/08/202611th50/10%44%+0.44
04/09/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
13/09/20265th11/142%56%+0.13