8

Another Baar
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 85
Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 35% | -0.07 |
| 19/02/2026 | 17th | 16/1 | 16% | 6% | -0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/08/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |