7

Eye Of Dubai
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 87
Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength83%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 95% | +0.90 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 28/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |