Indian Run
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 91
Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 26/07/2025 | 16th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |