12
Kind Touch
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Musselburgh | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-26 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |