6

Schrodinger's Cat
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 91
Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 76% | +0.16 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 72% | +0.06 |
| 12/09/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |