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2

Trefor

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 95

Ripon · Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to best when won at Windsor in early August and not seen to best effect when tenth of 21 in a handicap at York under a penalty later that month, poorly drawn. Has a C&D win to his name so merits respect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Windsor 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 94 · 6f12y GF 136 · beat its mark11/08/2025 · OR 94 par11/082OR 942 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 20 · OR 93 · 5f89y Goo 131 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 93 par2 @ Doncaster 13/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 98 · 5f143y Goo 132 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 98 par13/092OR 982 @ Goodwood 01/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 98 · 5f Gd 129 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 98 par2 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 96 · 6f12y GF 132 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 96 par25/052OR 962 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 22nd of 27 · OR 96 · 6f GF 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 94 · 5f GF 129 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 94 par11/072OR 942 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 91 · 6f12y GF 130 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 91 · 5f89y Goo 130 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 91 par19/082OR 91projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19York210th10th0
2026-08-10Windsor21st1st0
2026-07-11Ascot214th14th0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot222th22th0
2026-05-25Windsor24th4th0
2026-05-01Goodwood210th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/081/0511/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20252nd6/168%91%+0.22
20/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
13/09/202517th8/158%20%-0.38
01/05/202610th8/158%10%-0.48
25/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
20/06/202622nd66/10%19%+0.19
11/07/202614th11/142%7%-0.35
10/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
19/08/202610th20/10%55%+0.55