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4

Good Karma

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 61

Ripon · Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Continues to hold his form, only outside the frame once across his last 10 outings. Creditable third of 12 in a handicap at Pontefract 9 days ago and likely to go well once more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 58 par17/036OR 586 @ Thirsk 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 6f20y Std 130 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 59 par17/046OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 60 · 6f195y Goo 130 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 60 par15/066OR 606 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 7f6y GF 137 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 5f212y Goo 136 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 62 par17/086OR 624 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Pontefract 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 61 · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 61 par17/095OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Pontefract53rd2nd+1
2026-09-05Thirsk43rd1st+2
2026-08-17Catterick64th4th0
2026-07-22Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-06-15Carlisle62nd2nd0
2026-06-01Wolverhampton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/031/0617/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
10/04/20267th10/382%54%-0.29
17/04/20264th3/184%57%-0.27
01/06/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
15/06/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
22/07/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
17/08/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
05/09/20263rd40/10%75%+0.75
17/09/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03